Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.238964 0.277364 0.319986 0.370811 0.429789 0.496101 0.576361
2025-05-25 0.170868 0.219791 0.279895 0.359216 0.461264 0.588308 0.758789
2025-06-01 0.142202 0.196303 0.267571 0.368433 0.507764 0.693867 0.962091
2025-06-08 0.120340 0.175954 0.253499 0.369682 0.539774 0.780409 1.148110
2025-06-15 0.105677 0.162393 0.245458 0.376212 0.577525 0.876892 1.358180
2025-06-22 0.090676 0.145651 0.229768 0.368141 0.590976 0.937438 1.520324
2025-06-29 0.079687 0.133278 0.218620 0.364772 0.610005 1.007142 1.703664
2025-07-06 0.071727 0.124539 0.211810 0.366951 0.637382 1.092199 1.921326
2025-07-13 0.067710 0.121774 0.214276 0.384593 0.692325 1.228638 2.242627
2025-07-20 0.063373 0.117809 0.214046 0.397197 0.739498 1.356417 2.563614
2025-07-27 0.059415 0.113969 0.213455 0.408825 0.785869 1.487410 2.905809
2025-08-03 0.054909 0.108510 0.209179 0.412860 0.818124 1.595381 3.216546
2025-08-10 0.049811 0.101405 0.201195 0.409200 0.835877 1.679373 3.494321
2025-08-17 0.044305 0.092831 0.189398 0.396587 0.834349 1.725589 3.702148
2025-08-24 0.041803 0.090074 0.188833 0.406767 0.880685 1.873564 4.141407
2025-08-31 0.038719 0.085696 0.184395 0.408147 0.908348 1.985496 4.516474
2025-09-07 0.036466 0.082831 0.182780 0.415363 0.949409 2.130485 4.982927
2025-09-14 0.033130 0.077148 0.174401 0.406444 0.953100 2.193347 5.268685
2025-09-21 0.030539 0.072855 0.168611 0.402721 0.968205 2.283501 5.629827
2025-09-28 0.028629 0.069930 0.165599 0.405130 0.998007 2.410974 6.097272
2025-10-05 0.027990 0.069977 0.169506 0.424624 1.071494 2.650626 6.874052
2025-10-12 0.027019 0.069094 0.171086 0.438552 1.132803 2.867633 7.620909
2025-10-19 0.026037 0.068066 0.172192 0.451401 1.192893 3.088487 8.406247